Picks of the Week: Cold War Redux? “How could we have let this happen?”
Russia’s hybrid interference in Germany’s refugee policy | European Council on Foreign Relations
Navy aircraft returning to former Cold War base in Iceland | Stars and Stripes
NATO to send more forces east to face Russia threat | Stars and Stripes
In the long line of American defense secretaries, few stand out for quiet brilliance. One, however, does: William Perry. Unassuming, likable, and brilliant, he’s a student of both global politics and technology. It was Perry, among others, in the Carter administration who championed an approach to technology that others would later describe as a “revolution in military affairs.” Stealth and precision guided munitions, Perry argued years before he would serve as Secretary of Defense in the Clinton administration, could have strategic consequences. The history of warfare since 1991 has confirmed Dr. Perry’s insights.
But Bill Perry didn’t prescribe a military technical revolution to fight terrorists or third-world dictators. He, and others, saw it as a way to offset Soviet numerical superiority in Eastern Europe.
In 2004, bristling from Europe’s repudiation of the Iraq war, the administration of President George W. Bush announced it was withdrawing the bulk of American forces from bases in Europe—especially in Germany. The administration—clearly wanting for a map—argued that American forces would be closer to the fight if they deployed to the war on terror from Kansas rather than Germany. It was anger and frustration—a reaction to allied opposition to America’s war of choice in Iraq dressed in the rhetoric of “cost savings” and a transformed relationship with Russia.
Unfortunately, as Secretary Perry observed recently, the U.S.-Russia relationship is in tatters. Russia has used force against its neighbors with relative impunity. While their economy buckles under the combined blows of sanctions and the low price of oil, Russia still holds Crimea, still controls a sizable portion of Eastern Ukraine, and appears to have altered the reality on the ground in Syria.
And now, American policy appears to be stiffening. Military hardware is again moving to positions in Eastern Europe. American and allied aircraft are performing routine intercept operations in the skies over the Baltic Sea. The U.S. Navy is repositioning submarine hunter-aircraft and probably thanking its lucky stars that they didn’t close the submarine base at Groton in the last round of base closures.
It would be trite to blame any single American administration for “losing” Russia. In the first place, it was never ours to lose. But the ebbs and flows of U.S.-Russia relations since the end of the Cold War should remind us of the enduring value of power in the international system and the sheer silliness of making policy decisions out of pique. – Executive Director Jim Ludes
Feature photo credit: U.S. Department of Defense via www.defense.gov/
Podcast: G. Wayne Miller
Executive Director Jim Ludes and Visiting Fellow G. Wayne Miller discuss “Car Crazy: The Battle for Supremacy between Ford and Olds and the Dawn of the Automobile Age”, Miller’s most recent published work. Miller is the Director of the “Story in the Public Square,” a year-round initiative to study and celebrate public storytelling.
Picks of the Week: 354 Mass Shootings in 336 Days
At the time of this writing, we still don’t know the motive of the murderers in San Bernardino, California. But we do know their means. As in 353 other instances in the United States earlier this year, firearms were the tool of choice for someone intent on murder, carnage, and terror.
Yet politicians were quick to defend the second amendment. Speaker of the House Paul Ryan said, “There are law-abiding citizens whose rights we don’t want to trample upon.”
I wonder how Mr. Ryan feels about the trampling of the rights of the 462 people killed in mass shootings in 2015 in the United States? Or the rights of the 1,314 who have been wounded? Or the vast sums being spent to increase the ability of police forces to meet heavily armed psychopaths—something contributing decisively to the militarization of America’s police forces.
As President Obama put it, why do we allow someone who can’t board a plane buy guns without a background check?
The National Rifle Association (NRA) wants you to believe that there is nothing that can be done, except send thoughts and prayers to the victims. I’ve said this before, but it reminds me of the old saying, “The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing people that he didn’t exist.”
The American people are not quite so impotent, thankfully. This democracy, rallied to action, has tackled bigger issues and defeated greater foes. But for once we have move beyond the ideological and ahistorical arguments of gun-rights advocates.
If our elected leaders don’t agree, then it’s our solemn duty to defeat them at the polls. That’s how things change in America. I’m talking about a single-issue focus, friends. Nothing else matters. Enough is enough. – Jim Ludes, Executive Director
Picks of the Week: Nuclear Nightmares
The fuel for a nuclear bomb is in the hands of an unknown black marketeer from Russia, U.S. officials say | The Center for Public Integrity
Two weeks ago, the USS Lassen, a U.S. Navy destroyer, sailed through disputed waters in the South China Sea. China protested and said it would respond at a time and place of its own choosing. Several days later, Chinese fighter jets, bristling with missiles, flew through the area. Most recently, an American B-52 bomber flew through the airspace. If there’s one thing you can say about the B-52, there’s no doubt the Chinese knew it was there. The venerable aircraft is big, slow, and, with large vertical surfaces, easy to spot on radar.
You can expect the Chinese will move again in a similar fashion.
The dispute in the South China Sea, as serious as it is and with all the potential for miscalculation that it entails, isn’t a serious cause for concern. All the parties to the dispute are rational actors. They have substantial interests and claims about which they are quite serious, but they also recognize the consequences of miscalculation. Balancing and traditional diplomacy and statecraft as practiced by the current players seem up to this challenge.
More alarming is the report out this week that four separate would-be nuclear smugglers in Moldova—once part of the Soviet Union—have been stopped over the last five years trying to sell highly enriched uranium from the same source. The really alarming piece of this story follows:
[T]he resulting international probe into the case has sparked fresh, and previously unreported worries, that thieves inside of Russia somehow made off years ago with a full bomb’s worth of highly enriched uranium. Western spies fear the thieves have been doggedly looking for a buyer for the past sixteen years, by repeatedly dangling in front of them identical, genuine samples of that highly valuable material.
Five current or former U.S. officials who have tracked nuclear smuggling, and who declined to be named because this assessment is classified, said it is now a consensus view within the intelligence community.
The truth is, this story raises more questions than it really answers. But that’s the case with nightmares. What you don’t know will keep you up at night. – Jim Ludes, Executive Director
Picks of the Week | The Long Game
President Obama: the 60 Minutes Interview | CBS News
Rift in Obama administration over Putin | Politico
Who is a Better Strategist: Obama or Putin? | Foreign Policy
Last week, during an appearance on “White House Chronicle,” the show’s host, Llewellyn King, asked me whether a lack of leadership on the National Security Council and at the State Department was to blame for the impotence of U.S. policy in the Middle East, and especially in Syria. King hearkened back to a time in American foreign policy when a Kissinger or a Brzezinski played a dominant role in American policymaking.
Having worked for Secretary of State John Kerry when he was a United States Senator, and with Susan Rice in the 2004 campaign, and for both of them when they were members of the board of the American Security Project, I was quick to leap to their defense. Kerry and Rice are smart, tough, dedicated public servants. They have strong strategic instincts and an ability to master complex details. They are committed internationalists who believe America has a unique role to play in the world. I sincerely have the highest confidence in them, and I said as much to King.
But I wish I had not stopped there. Within hours of the broadcast of “White House Chronicle,” President Obama’s interview with Steve Kroft on “60 Minutes” aired. In a sometimes heated exchange, the “great man” King was looking for in the Situation Room or at Foggy Bottom emerged. It is President Barack Obama, himself.
It seems like a blinding flash of the obvious, of course. The President of the United States is the primary author of his own foreign policy. But there was a time, as King suggested, when foreign policy advisors shaped the agenda and legacy of presidents even more than the presidents they served. That’s not the case in Obama’s second term. He is fully in charge as evidenced by the mastery of issues in the “60 Minutes” interview, but also in other reporting about the president’s advisors favoring more muscular approaches to Russia or to Syria, to pick two examples—an assertiveness President Obama has simply rejected.
Instead, Obama is opting to play a long-game. With Russia, the president is content to let Russian aggressiveness exhaust the economically challenged former-superpower. In Syria, the president seems content to let chaos prevail because the cost of decisive American intervention is a cost neither he nor the nation he leads is willing to pay. So instead, he’s adopted a containment strategy with ISIS while continuing to seek a negotiated end to the Assad regime. Russia’s recent intervention in Syria doesn’t preclude that kind of end-game—it may, perversely, even make it more likely.
Critics of President Obama will argue that he is more worried about his legacy as the “ender” of the wars he inherited than responding to the challenges that have emerged on his watch. The evidence suggests otherwise. President Obama is managing difficult foreign policy challenges while preserving and rebuilding American strength. That’s the stuff of strategy. In an age where the military option is called for flippantly and with a cavalier disregard for risk, the president’s foreign policy restraint reveals his mastery of the policy making process. As his predecessor might have put it: advisors advise, but the president decides.
Whether Obama’s policy choices are the right decisions is certainly open to debate—but the provenance of those choices is clear. They belong to the president. – Executive Director, Jim Ludes
The Hill: Legislating as it Once Was: The NEH Turns 50
Legislating as it Once Was: The NEH Turns 50
Elizabeth Francis and James M. Ludes
Fifty years ago, President Lyndon Johnson signed legislation creating the National Endowment for the Humanities and the National Endowment for the Arts. It was not fast-tracked legislation, rather it was the result of determined effort by Senator Claiborne Pell of Rhode Island and his allies in the House and Senate. In a day and age of political paralysis, sequester, and government shut-downs, when many Americans question whether government can ever accomplish anything, it’s useful to revisit the process Pell used to pass the legislation into law.
Senator Pell began, simply, with the idea that the U.S. government should support both the arts and the humanities in this country. Then, using the convening power of the Senate, he assembled the most important, leading voices on the issue. Over two weeks of testimony in February of 1965, Senator Pell brought scholars and artists before his subcommittee, university presidents, like Barnaby Keeney of Brown University, and union leaders followed, as did administration officials and other members of the Senate.
He gave these experts and stake-holders a platform from which to be heard, and then he did something radical.
Senator Pell did not begin with a ten-point plan and a speech. There was no org-chart hidden away with authorities established and structures determined.
He listened and he worked to accommodate the concerns he was hearing.
He did not draw lines in the sand. He did not posture.
He did not pre-judge any of the big issues facing his subcommittee. For example, he did not begin with a conviction about whether the arts were part of the humanities.
He listened to the people who cared passionately on both sides of that debate.
He did not begin with a firm view of whether the new foundation should be independent or part of an existing federal agency.
In the end, Senator Pell earned truly bipartisan support for the legislation. Democrats with names that resonate still today supported the bill: Bayh, Dodd, Kennedy, McGovern, Mondale, and Muskie. But there were others, too, who voted for the legislation: Republicans like George Murphy of California, Jacob Javits, John Tower and even Barry Goldwater.
Why? There’s no single answer. But there is one common answer: because Claiborne Pell listened.
Time and again, whenever the legislation seemed to be in trouble, Pell and his staff—especially Livingston Biddle who played such an important role and would later become chair of the National Endowment for the Arts—showed a remarkable ability to listen, to understand what was important to others, and to accommodate those priorities in the legislation.
Listening and accommodating were the twin elements of Senator Pell’s approach to creating legislation. This was not sausage being made, as the old adage goes, it was a master’s class on legislating. It’s a lesson lost on too many of today’s members of the House and Senate.
The National Endowment for the Humanities, fifty years-on, has made our democracy healthier, our scholarship richer, and our public dialogue more reflective. Through the creation of the state humanities councils, also driven by Senator Claiborne Pell who listened and heard a need for the humanities to reach local communities, the National Endowment for the Humanities has a direct and immediate impact, ensuring widespread access to history, heritage, and civic engagement. This is the legacy of a legislator and an approach to legislating that prized listening over winning. That’s how you create institutions that, half-a-century later, remain true to their original mission. It’s how you get things done in Washington. It’s a lesson we’d be well served to remember.
In a broader sense, the public’s engagement with the humanities supports listening, critical thinking, and reflective dialogue by all of us. These skills are essential for informed consent in a democracy. As we celebrate the 50th anniversary of the NEH, we affirm the importance of public support for the humanities to create a political community where we listen and accommodate to solve the great issues of our time, just as Senator Pell did 50 years ago.
Elizabeth Francis is the Executive Director of the RI Council for the Humanities. James Ludes is Vice President for Public Research and Initiatives as well as Executive Director of the Pell Center at Salve Regina University. Together with the University of Rhode Island Libraries these institutions created the Pell Humanities Initiative, celebrating the NEH 50th anniversary and honoring Senator Claiborne Pell’s commitment to the humanities in the health of the nation by showcasing the vital contributions of the humanities in our society today. The views expressed here are their own.
Picks of the Week: Another Mass Shooting: Enough is Enough
I didn’t want to turn on my television tonight. I knew what was waiting for me. But I had to watch—and as soon as I turned it on, there it was: 10 dead, seven wounded, the red graphic screaming “BREAKING NEWS” and the sickeningly familiar scenes of students being frisked by police after some madman brought another gun into another school and killed innocents.
I sat down to write this week’s Picks of the Week column determined to write an insightful commentary about events in Syria in the past week. And as important as that issue is, I can’t get past the news of another mass shooting in my country.
Another mass shooting. After Sandy Hook it seemed certain that the country would finally pass some kind of common-sense gun control. But the NRA ruled the day. As more than one person has pointed out: once the slaughter of first graders became something bearable, any hope for progress on this issue disappeared.
In the 20 years since Columbine, body armor and police response times have gotten better, but our sense of collective responsibility for each other’s safety and wellbeing has not. So crowds gather again and again to light candles the night after a murderous rampage, we hug our kids tight, and the vast majority of us go on feeling impotent to change anything.
But the truth is we are not impotent. The NRA is not invincible. This doesn’t have to be the way it is. But the public has to demand more—we have to demand more from our politicians, from our leaders, from the people with the power to make this better. It shouldn’t take an act of courage to go to a movie on a Thursday night in America and it should certainly not take an act of courage to send your kids to school. – Executive Director Jim Ludes
Picks of the Week | Big Challenges Await Next President
Why Americans Still Think the Economy is Terrible | New York Times
President Barack Obama waded into the 2016 Republican primary debate this week when he said, “Despite the perennial doom and gloom that I guess is inevitably a part of a presidential campaign, America is winning right now. America is great right now.” With all due respect to the President, that case is getting harder to make.
Domestically, we learned that the American middle class is really under assault. As Neil Irwin pointed out in the New York Times, unemployment is down to 5.1% and the stock market remains near historic highs, but the U.S. census bureau reports middle class incomes are flat, year over year. More alarmingly, middle class incomes are down 6.5 percent from 2007 and 7.2 percent from 1999. Read that again. Middle class Americans are making substantially less income now than they were eight years or even 15 years ago. That’s the single biggest reason American’s, by and large, don’t feel like the economic recovery has touched them.
Internationally, the news is not much better. Syria is emptying out of refugees, but the Russian military is going in with tactical aircraft, and T-90 tanks. The refugee crisis in Europe has resurrected headlines like “Austria is rushing troops to its border,” that seem plucked from the graveyard of the 20th century. And the U.S. plan to train 12,000 Syrian opposition fighters to take on the Assad regime as well as ISIS is in tatters. U.S. officials testifying before Congress this week revealed that only “four or five” trained forces are currently in Syria. By the end of the year, the Obama administration hopes to have that number up to “100 to 120.”
The President is right to remind us that the American story is not one of doom and gloom. A positive vision for the future is needed now as we debate our future course as a nation. But we can’t be Pollyannaish about the world either or willful in our ignorance of the enormity of the challenges facing the next President—whoever that might be. – Jim Ludes, Executive Director
Fall 2015 Lecture Series Announced
The Pell Center has announced its lineup of events and lectures for the Fall 2015 semester.
Laudato si’ – Pope Francis and the Challenge of the Environment
September 23, 2015, 7:00 pm
O’Hare Academic Center – Bazarsky Lecture Hall
Panelists: Craig Condella, Ph.D., Dept. of Philosophy; Debra Curtis, PhD., Dept. of Sociology, Anthropology, & Global Studies; Jayme Hennessy, Ph.D., Dept. of Religious & Theological Studies; Susan Meschwitz, Ph.D. Dept. of Chemistry; Chad Raymond, Ph.D., Dept. of Political Science, International Relations & Global Studies
On June 18, 2015, Pope Francis released his second encyclical entitled Laudato si’: On care for our common home. The much-anticipated work laments the environmental degradation of our planet and issues a call to global political action that could curb the excesses of rampant consumerism and unchecked technological development in exchange for more sustainable forms of development.
Join members of the Salve Regina University faculty for a panel discussion on Pope Francis’ latest encyclical. Faculty from various departments will join in a moderated discussion that will open up to audience participation. Topics for conversation will include the content, reception, and potential impact of Laudato si’.
Cybersecurity, the Internet, and the U.S. Presidential Race
October 14, 2015 – 7:00 p.m.
O’Hare Academic Center – Bazarsky Lecture Hall
Moderator: Melissa Hathaway, Hathaway Global Strategies LLC
Panelists: John N. Stewart, Cisco and Joseph S. Nye, Jr., Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government
The next president will inherit leadership of a nation that it is still the most powerful in the world, but that continues to face challenges to its economic and national security of staggering proportions. Among some of the most pressing challenges are the growing scope, pace, sophistication, and impact of cyber threats.
As the United States edges towards the next elections, how will these issues figure in the U.S. Presidential race? Are the country’s current and future leaders prepared for the tasks ahead of them? What measures do the need to take? What should be prioritized? And what should the role of the President be in shaping cyber policy, from issuing Executive Orders and legislative proposals, to convening leaders who have a stake in bolstering cybersecurity, to appealing for congressional action in areas such as information sharing, intelligence collection, and data breach law?
A panel of extinguished and internationally known experts will discuss these and other important and timely issues on the future of U.S. cyber policy. Moderated by Melissa Hathaway, president of Hathaway Global Strategies LLC, panelists are John N. Stewart, senior vice president and chief security and trust officer for Cisco and Joseph S. Nye, Jr. Harvard University Distinguished Service Professor and John F. Kennedy School of Government.
The UN at 70: Taking Stock & Future Challenges
October 28, 2015, 7:00 p.m.
O’Hare Academic Center – Bazarsky Lecture Hall
*Co-sponsored with International Programs as part of International Education Week
Peace with Justice – Bishop Mark J. Hurley, the Black Power Movement, and Racial Justice in the Sixties
November 18, 2015, 7:00 p.m.
Bazarsky Lecture Hall
William Issel, Ph.D. – John E. McGinty Chair in History, Salve Regina University, 2015-2016
Dr. Issel will explore the complex relationships that linked the Vatican, American Catholics, and U.S. politics and policy during the 20th century. He will describe how a Catholic bishop drew on the work of Vatican II to broker a settlement of the San Francisco State College student strike in 1968-1969, the longest such event in United States history. This lecture will illuminate the way that transnational Catholic Church history, dramatic international events, national social, cultural, and political developments, and the distinctive features of particular local cultures have combined to create the story of Catholicism in America.
The Legacy: What’s Next for U.S. Policy in the Middle East?
December 2, 2015, 7:00 p.m.
O’Hare Academic Center – Bazarsky Lecture Hall
Timothy Hoyt, Ph.D., U.S. Naval War College
Hayat Alvi, Ph.D., U.S. Naval War College
Fourteen years after the attacks of September 2001 focused American attention on the Middle East, events in the region continue to vex U.S. policy makers and threaten U.S. interests. More than a year since ISIS declared its caliphate, and after thousands of U.S. airstrikes, the region remains plagued by civil war, extremism, and uncertainty. What’s at stake? What can the United States hope to achieve in the region? What is the best path ahead for U.S. policy makers to consider? Join two faculty from the U.S. Naval War College for a candid conversation about U.S. strategy in the region.
New Study Offers Guidance for Expanding Broadband Access
The Internet is a tool that Americans use every day to work, to locate information, to communicate, to shop, and to play. More broadly, access to the Internet can help strengthen communities, improve schools, heighten public safety, and create a more responsive relationship between government and citizens. Perhaps most importantly, many believe that the availability of broadband Internet is a key enabler of economic growth.
While many decisions about broadband deployment are made at the local level, state governments have an important role to play. In a new study from the Pell Center for International Relations and Public Policy, Adjunct Fellow Angela Siefer explains why broadband access is important and how states can support the adoption of smart broadband policies.
According to Pell Center Executive Director Jim Ludes, “State Level Broadband Policy: A Compendium of Resources and Approaches” is different from other Pell Center studies. “We began thinking we needed to make the case about why broadband was important,” said Ludes. “But what Angela helped us understand was that it’s not a matter of why or whether, it’s a question of how. She’s written a thoughtful study that helps state-level policy makers think through their broadband policy choices while pointing to real examples from progress made in efforts from Maine to California.”
About the author: Angela Siefer has been working on digital inclusion issues since 1996, beginning with a University of Toledo graduate school assistantship coordinating a regional community technology network. She served as executive director of the Ohio Community Computing Network, distributing funds to and supporting community technology centers. Siefer has been involved with the Broadband Technology Opportunity Program of the National Telecommunications Information Administration (NTIA) through participating in the creation of two successful Sustainable Broadband Adoption (SBA) grants, implementation work on OneCommunity’s SBA grant (Connect Your Community) and serving as an NTIA consultant researching and writing best practices for the NTIA Broadband Adoption Toolkit. She coordinated two broadband conferences for OneCommunity and one for the Schools, Health and Libraries Broadband Coalition. In 2013, on behalf of the Online Computer Library Center, Siefer led an Institute of Museum and Library Services (IMLS) funded project supporting communities piloting “Building Digital Communities: A Framework to Action.” In 2014, she conducted research for the Center for Digital Inclusion at the University of Illinois for another IMLS funded project, “Inclusive Gigabit Libraries.” She is now an independent consultant working directly with communities to increase broadband access and use while also leading the newly formed National Digital Inclusion Alliance.